Executive summary
• In the recent Budget, the Chancellor introduced a tax on the sugar
content of soft drinks, citing concerns about childhood obesity. This
tax will be introduced in 2018 and will not apply to fruit juices or milkbased
drinks.
• Government intervention to reduce sugar intake is potentially justified
if there are costs associated with consumption that are not taken into
account by the individual when choosing what to eat – for example,
the publicly-funded health costs of treating diet-related disease or
unanticipated future health problems.
• The extent of these costs is likely to vary across individuals and
potentially across different types of products.
• Corrective taxes, such as the kind levied on cigarettes, alcohol, fuel
and other goods that are thought to have high social costs, should aim
to raise the price to bring the costs perceived by an individual into line
with the true costs associated with their consumption.
An appropriately-defined tax base can help to ensure that a tax is
better targeted at socially costly consumption. The tax base will
determine the way that the tax changes relative prices faced by
individuals, and hence how they switch across products in response.
• A tax levied on sugary soft drinks has the advantage that reduction in
consumption of these products is not likely to directly adversely
impact other aspects of diet quality. However, its effectiveness at
reducing sugar consumption will depend on the products towards
which people switch.
• Carbonated and non-carbonated soft drinks account for on average
around 17% of the added sugar that households purchase. Therefore, a
tax imposed on these products would target only a fraction of the
average household’s total added sugar purchases.
• However, households that purchase the largest amounts of sugar get
around twice as much of their sugar from carbonated and noncarbonated
soft drinks as households that purchase the lowest
amounts of sugar (based on a comparison of the top 20% and the
bottom 20% of households’ share of calories from processed added
sugar), making a soft drinks tax potentially well targeted.
• In addition, households with children purchase on average around 50%
more of their added sugar from carbonated and non-carbonated soft
drinks, compared with households without children, which also
suggests that a soft drinks tax could potentially be well targeted.
• A broader-based tax levied on a wider range of sugary products would
raise the price of products that collectively account for a larger
fraction of added sugar, but is likely to be less well targeted – for
instance, potentially strongly impacting consumers for whom the
rationale for government intervention is weak.
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